Trump Approval Ratings Underwater in 39 States Ahead of Midterms
With less than a month until the midterms, Trump’s approval ratings are underwater in 39 states, reflecting deepening voter dissatisfaction.
NASA/John Kraus/NASA
With the November 3 midterm elections less than a month away, President Donald Trump is confronting a steep decline in voter support, as his approval ratings remain underwater in 39 states across the nation. Recent polling data show Trump’s net approval is positive in only 11 states, all traditionally Republican strongholds that supported him in the last three presidential elections.
State-by-State Approval Snapshot
According to a new tracker from Civiqs, President Trump retains positive net approval ratings solely in Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. These states have consistently voted for Trump in the 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential elections. Among them, Wyoming stands out as Trump’s strongest state, with a net approval rating of +16%. The other 10 states show positive ratings ranging between +2% and +10%.
National Polling Reflects Low Approval
National surveys echo the troubling state-level findings, with President Trump’s approval ratings hovering near the lowest points of his political career. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on October 5 revealed that only 32% of Americans approve of the president’s job performance, matching his all-time low. This poll also highlighted struggles among Hispanic voters, a demographic that was crucial to Trump’s 2024 election win, with just 24% approving of his performance—the lowest recorded during either of his presidencies.
Similarly, an AP-NORC survey released on October 1 found Trump’s approval rating at 31%, marking the lowest level recorded across both of his terms. The previous low came in late 2017 during his first term.
Polling Averages Show Consistent Underwater Ratings
Beyond individual polls, aggregated polling averages consistently show President Trump with disapproval ratings near or above 60%. As of October 6, RealClearPolitics reported a 38.5% approval versus 59.4% disapproval. The New York Times average indicated 37% approval and 60% disapproval, while the Silver Bulletin showed 37.5% approval against 59.9% disapproval. These averages reflect a broad and persistent pattern of voter dissatisfaction nationwide as Election Day approaches.
Declining Support Among Key Voter Groups
President Trump’s challenges extend to key voter demographics. The Reuters/Ipsos poll’s finding of only 24% approval among Hispanic Americans contrasts sharply with their 48% support for Trump in the 2024 election, according to the Pew Research Center. This decline signals a significant erosion of support within a critical constituency that previously helped fuel his victory.
The overall trend of sinking approval ratings in critical states and demographic groups underscores the uphill battle facing President Trump and the Republican Party as they head into the midterm elections.
As the nation counts down to November 3, the data suggest that President Trump’s political standing is under increasing strain, with little evidence of improvement in public opinion ahead of the crucial congressional contests.
